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Trump tariffs will cause inflation and increase recession risk: Goldman

by John M
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The Chaos of Trump’s Tariffs: Unpacking the Damage

Goldman Sachs unleashes a dire warning: Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff madness could ignite a blaze of inflationary devastation—and this bonfire has no exit strategy. The man of bold claims promises “universal tariffs,” but ambiguity shrouds the specifics. Who gets “liberation,” and who gets burned?

Chief economist at Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, escalated the forecast in a grim note to clients. Year-end core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation will skyrocket by 3.5% year-over-year. Why? Because when smug policy turns reckless, consumer wallets get torched. Hatzius ramped up the projected U.S. tariff increase for 2025 to a staggering 15 percentage points, throwing gasoline on the inflation inferno.

Recession Bells Ring Louder: Is the U.S. Economy Cracking?

Brace yourselves—a 35% chance of a recession now looms over U.S. skies. That’s a sharp leap from the previous 20%, all thanks to disrupted household confidence, dwindling business faith, and Washington’s indifference to near-term economic destruction. It’s a textbook recipe for chaos: pour unpredictability into an already fragile machine and watch it implode.

Goldman predicts the gross domestic product (GDP) will crawl at a feeble 1% rate by the end of 2025—a downgrade that screams trouble. This isn’t your usual market woe; it’s a full-scale collapse of credibility, as Washington shrugs off the long-term consequences of its short-term obsessions.

Global Backlash: From Retaliation to Ruin

Countries aren’t standing idle. Beijing targets American agriculture with surgical precision: chicken, corn, soybeans, and even everyday vegetables now bear China’s retaliatory tariffs. Canada isn’t holding back either, slapping a brutal 25% tariff on billions of dollars’ worth of American imports. The so-called “war” in trade diplomacy is bleeding industries dry. The losers? Everyday citizens and the economy as a whole.

The carnage isn’t limited to the cost of goods. The stock market is a battlefield. The Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 716 points, erasing 1.7% in a single day. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 crumbled by 2%, and the Nasdaq disintegrated by 2.7%. These aren’t mere numbers. These percentages reflect shattered market confidence and a system teetering at its edge.

Market Ambiguity: The Unforgivable Sin

According to Gary Cohn, former director of the National Economic Council, markets thrive on certainty. This administration offers none. Tariff chaos fuels unpredictability, thrusting businesses and investors into a storm of doubt. Ambiguity isn’t a strategy; it’s a punishment—and one that markets will mercilessly impose on anyone fostering it.

Corporate America quakes under the threat of retaliatory measures, with uncertainty further distorting business projections. Leaders express quiet frustration, but ground-level investors and consumers face the brunt of this reckless gamble. The future isn’t just uncertain—it’s a minefield of policy-induced disasters lurking at every step.

An Economy Adrift in “Liberation”

“Liberation Day” tariffs appear to be anything but freeing. As inflation rears its ugly head and recession bells toll louder, the path forward grows more ominous. These policies inject venom into international trade relations, wreaking havoc far beyond American borders. The implications are global, the actions brazenly myopic.

The headlines scream chaos, the statistics whisper collapse—and this disaster was foretold well in advance. One policy decision after another slowly strangles economic growth, erodes confidence, and exacerbates inequalities that boil beneath the surface. Liberation, indeed. Who will pick up the pieces of this mess when the dust finally settles?

Source:

Source: finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-tariffs-will-bring-inflation-and-a-higher-chance-of-a-recession-goldman-100343565.html

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